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The Business Times, 29 Sep 04

Why it is futile banning a casino

I REFER to the article by Alan Lim (BT, Sept 27), which says that a casino has no place in Singapore. It cites a Professor John Kindt, who argues that social costs of gambling are much higher than economic benefits. However, further research will show that this evidence lies squarely in the anti-casino camp, and a more neutral study can be found in the National Gambling Impact Study Commission Final Report, the result of a three-year study by the US Government of the costs and benefits of gambling (not just casinos) dated June 1999. The website where this can be found is govinfo.library.unt.edu All interested Singaporeans should take a look at this report, which has an executive summary that runs into 63 pages, and a very comprehensive main report that covers all the issues of the debate in America, with many of the conclusions relevant to us in Singapore.

The neutral conclusion in this report about economic benefits and social costs is that this is too difficult to measure (even in America, where many more studies have been made), much less quantified by the 1:3 benefit-cost ratio cited in the article.

While Singapore's economic planners should not ignore any social costs in trying to capture the obvious economic gains, it is fast becoming a fact that there may not be a choice for Singapore in this matter. If Singapore should succeed as a low-cost carrier transport hub, the many casinos sprouting in the region are almost as good as being in Sentosa. There is no question that all these countries planning casinos fully intend to tap the Singaporean gambling crowd and tourists.

Our government may take on the social burden of protecting our citizens from their own folly by not having a casino, but would other governments care for Singaporeans in the same fashion? Of course not. So the economics of the air transport industry will intensify the competition for the tourist dollar, with every country in Asia targeting each other's population as their hinterland.

Why should Singapore without a casino fight this coming tourism battle with one arm tied behind its back? If we take the moralistic stance, should we then impose charges on budget airlines destined for casino towns? While we are at it, why don't we close down the Turf Club, all the lotteries and every form of gambling which Singaporeans already indulge in every day? Where will it end?

Yeong Wai Cheong

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